RogueState_StephenCaro

Rank #4022 Overall
Overall Rating 1,512 ±202 78% confidence
Premier 1,468 ±159 Rank #5,827
Limited 1,556 ±250 Rank #1,059
Eternal
Win Rate 50.0% 40-38-2
Events 12
Still stabilizing. Rating Deviation 101 (<80 is considered trusted). A few more sanctioned events will tighten the credible interval.

Rating History

Premier only

Tournament History

11 total · Premier
Event Tier Record Rating +/- Date
Planetary Qualifier Mahwah NJ melee.gg
Planetary 2-3-0 1574 -36 Sep 20, 2025
Why your rating moved

You beat 2 lower-rated; lost to 1 higher-rated and 2 lower-rated. Planetary tier multiplier: 1.0×. Net: -36.

Rating before 1,610 RD 75
Rating after 1,574 RD 71
Effective multiplier 1.0x delta-weighted
Round HRI Opponent Result Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1217 TheFox500 Win 2-0 1.0x Swiss
R2 1656 BlueFalcon Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss
R3 1568 artc1126 Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss
R4 1500 djtwreck Win 2-0 1.0x Swiss
R5 1398 JonahP Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss
Planetary Qualifier Matawan melee.gg
Planetary 0-3-0 1468 -53 May 31, 2025
Why your rating moved

You lost to 3 lower-rated. Planetary tier multiplier: 1.0×. Net: -53.

Rating before 1,521 RD 75
Rating after 1,468 RD 72
Effective multiplier 1.0x delta-weighted
Round HRI Opponent Result Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1484 MCG_PadawanUnlimited Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss
R2 1446 MightyJoe Loss 1-2 1.0x Swiss
R3 1278 ShmillyRock Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss
Planetary Qualifier Albany melee.gg
Planetary 2-4-0 1521 -53 May 24, 2025
Why your rating moved

You beat 2 lower-rated; lost to 4 lower-rated. Planetary tier multiplier: 1.0×. Net: -53.

Rating before 1,574 RD 74
Rating after 1,521 RD 69
Effective multiplier 1.0x delta-weighted
Round HRI Opponent Result Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1504 EntCDXX Loss 1-2 1.0x Swiss
R2 1447 Big_bald_matt Loss 1-2 1.0x Swiss
R3 1500 banditec Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss
R4 1401 johnnytenpins Win 2-0 1.0x Swiss
R5 1381 MistrOrange Win 2-0 1.0x Swiss
R6 1308 Jeb37 Loss 1-2 1.0x Swiss
Planetary Qualifier Mahwah - New Jersey melee.gg
Planetary 5-2-0 1610 +34 May 10, 2025
Why your rating moved

You beat 1 higher-rated and 4 lower-rated; lost to 2 higher-rated. Planetary tier multiplier: 1.0×. Net: +34.

Rating before 1,576 RD 77
Rating after 1,610 RD 69
Effective multiplier 1.0x delta-weighted
Round HRI Opponent Result Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1541 TheKilldozer Win 2-1 1.0x Swiss
R2 1611 RTchompGG Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss
R3 1499 TH_Rookie Win 2-1 1.0x Swiss
R4 1500 pjvedder Win 2-0 1.0x Swiss
R5 1486 MilesRodriguez Win 2-1 1.0x Swiss
R6 1630 MCG_SpanishAlex Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss
R7 1683 MCG_Dahak Win 2-1 1.0x Swiss
Sector Qualifier Richmond melee.gg
Sector 4-4-0 1576 -12 Apr 26, 2025
Why your rating moved

You beat 2 higher-rated and 2 lower-rated; lost to 1 higher-rated and 3 lower-rated. Sector tier multiplier: 1.15×. Net: -12.

Rating before 1,588 RD 82
Rating after 1,576 RD 71
Effective multiplier 1.15x delta-weighted
Round HRI Opponent Result Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1377 RyanLovi Win 2-0 1.15x Swiss
R2 1623 Snowcrashes Win 2-1 1.15x Swiss
R3 1309 Dagathra Win 2-1 1.15x Swiss
R4 1649 BN_RodneyStubbs Loss 0-2 1.15x Swiss
R5 1759 sunnyd2293 Win 2-0 1.15x Swiss
R6 1554 Backpack Loss 0-2 1.15x Swiss
R7 1515 LordFarquaad2205 Loss 0-2 1.15x Swiss
R8 1552 panik100 Loss 0-2 1.15x Swiss
Planetary Qualifier Hartford melee.gg
Planetary 5-2-0 1588 +81 Feb 15, 2025
Why your rating moved

You beat 3 higher-rated and 2 lower-rated; lost to 2 higher-rated. Planetary tier multiplier: 1.0×. Net: +81.

Rating before 1,507 RD 82
Rating after 1,588 RD 74
Effective multiplier 1.0x delta-weighted
Round HRI Opponent Result Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1500 Todd Green Win 2-0 1.0x Swiss
R2 1846 Michael Jurgelon Win 2-1 1.0x Swiss
R3 1500 Big_bald_matt Win 2-1 1.0x Swiss
R4 1645 Byrus_MythicForce Win 2-1 1.0x Swiss
R5 1841 Pascal Maynard Win 2-1 1.0x Swiss
R6 1757 FilS Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss
R7 1606 Farmboy087 Loss 1-2 1.0x Swiss
Planetary Qualifier New Jersey melee.gg
Planetary 4-3-0 1507 +22 Feb 08, 2025
Why your rating moved

You beat 1 higher-rated and 3 lower-rated; lost to 3 higher-rated. Planetary tier multiplier: 1.0×. Net: +22.

Rating before 1,485 RD 87
Rating after 1,507 RD 76
Effective multiplier 1.0x delta-weighted
Round HRI Opponent Result Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1500 Stulopez7 Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss
R2 1500 skyguy1417 Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss
R3 1476 RogueState_Kaijuu Win 2-0 1.0x Swiss
R4 1281 Kalhl Win 2-0 1.0x Swiss
R5 1481 RougeState_Stepps89 Win 2-0 1.0x Swiss
R6 1584 FenixGaming Loss 1-2 1.0x Swiss
R7 1620 KobrahKommander Win 2-1 1.0x Swiss
Planetary Qualifier New York melee.gg
Planetary 3-2-2 1485 0 Jan 25, 2025
Why your rating moved

You beat 3 higher-rated; lost to 2 lower-rated; drew 2. Planetary tier multiplier: 1.0×. Net: 0. Every result matched the math for your rating going in.

Rating before 1,485 RD 94
Rating after 1,485 RD 82
Effective multiplier 1.0x delta-weighted
Round HRI Opponent Result Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1500 Andre Desir Draw 1-1 1.0x Swiss
R2 1500 Hollow61 Win 2-0 1.0x Swiss
R3 1500 TheNandalorian Draw 1-1 1.0x Swiss
R4 1500 AreebA Win 2-0 1.0x Swiss
R5 1427 RogueState_Kaijuu Loss 1-2 1.0x Swiss
R6 1500 fnord23rd Win 2-0 1.0x Swiss
R7 1240 lobospace Loss 1-2 1.0x Swiss
Planetary Qualifier Rochester melee.gg
Planetary 4-3-0 1485 +41 Jan 11, 2025
Why your rating moved

You beat 4 higher-rated; lost to 3 higher-rated. Planetary tier multiplier: 1.0×. Net: +41.

Rating before 1,444 RD 107
Rating after 1,485 RD 90
Effective multiplier 1.0x delta-weighted
Round HRI Opponent Result Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1456 Ryan Brown Win 2-0 1.0x Swiss
R2 1541 AleR12 Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss
R3 1500 JamesHenz Win 2-0 1.0x Swiss
R4 1500 Northhouse Win 2-1 1.0x Swiss
R5 1500 Nobuddy Loss 1-2 1.0x Swiss
R6 1500 LoganKaminski Win 2-1 1.0x Swiss
R7 1663 Byrus_MythicForce Loss 1-2 1.0x Swiss
Planetary Qualifier Albany melee.gg
Planetary 2-5-0 1444 -99 Oct 19, 2024
Why your rating moved

You beat 2 lower-rated; lost to 5 lower-rated. Planetary tier multiplier: 1.0×. Net: -99.

Rating before 1,544 RD 139
Rating after 1,444 RD 106
Effective multiplier 1.0x delta-weighted
Round HRI Opponent Result Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1500 Orrickvonlichten Loss 1-2 1.0x Swiss
R2 1500 AndyRyan Win 2-1 1.0x Swiss
R3 1500 Jeff Hulslander Loss 1-2 1.0x Swiss
R4 1500 EagleOne27_Wes Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss
R5 1500 Airwalker Win 2-1 1.0x Swiss
R6 1500 Joseph Martin Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss
R7 1500 BlueDevilBoxer Loss 0-2 1.0x Swiss

Head-to-Head

Top 10 most-faced (Premier)
Rival Record Split Win % Matches Rating Last played
Big_bald_matt 1-1 50.0% 2 1444 Overall May 24, 2025
1 W 1 L
EVEN Win rate 50.0%
Date Tournament Round Format RogueState_StephenCaro Big_bald_matt Result
May 24, 2025 pla Planetary Qualifier Albany R2 Premier 1574 1447 Loss
Feb 15, 2025 pla Planetary Qualifier Hartford R3 Premier 1507 1500 Win
Byrus_MythicForce 1-1 50.0% 2 1678 Overall Feb 15, 2025
1 W 1 L
EVEN Win rate 50.0%
Date Tournament Round Format RogueState_StephenCaro Byrus_MythicForce Result
Feb 15, 2025 pla Planetary Qualifier Hartford R4 Premier 1507 1645 Win
Jan 11, 2025 pla Planetary Qualifier Rochester R7 Premier 1444 1663 Loss
artc1126 0-2 0.0% 2 1654 Overall Sep 20, 2025
0 W 2 L
NEMESIS Win rate 0.0%
Date Tournament Round Format RogueState_StephenCaro artc1126 Result
Sep 20, 2025 pla Planetary Qualifier Mahwah NJ R3 Premier 1610 1568 Loss
Oct 05, 2024 pla Planetary Qualifier New Jersey R5 Premier 1500 1500 Loss
RogueState_Kaijuu 1-1 50.0% 2 1384 Overall Feb 08, 2025
1 W 1 L
EVEN Win rate 50.0%
Date Tournament Round Format RogueState_StephenCaro RogueState_Kaijuu Result
Feb 08, 2025 pla Planetary Qualifier New Jersey R3 Premier 1485 1476 Win
Jan 25, 2025 pla Planetary Qualifier New York R5 Premier 1485 1427 Loss
RTchompGG 0-1 0.0% 1 1615 Overall May 10, 2025
0 W 1 L
NEMESIS Win rate 0.0%
Date Tournament Round Format RogueState_StephenCaro RTchompGG Result
May 10, 2025 pla Planetary Qualifier Mahwah - New Jersey R2 Premier 1576 1611 Loss
TheKilldozer 1-0 100.0% 1 1457 Overall May 10, 2025
1 W 0 L
FAVORABLE Win rate 100.0%
Date Tournament Round Format RogueState_StephenCaro TheKilldozer Result
May 10, 2025 pla Planetary Qualifier Mahwah - New Jersey R1 Premier 1576 1541 Win
panik100 0-1 0.0% 1 1516 Overall Apr 26, 2025
0 W 1 L
NEMESIS Win rate 0.0%
Date Tournament Round Format RogueState_StephenCaro panik100 Result
Apr 26, 2025 sec Sector Qualifier Richmond R8 Premier 1588 1552 Loss
LordFarquaad2205 0-1 0.0% 1 1618 Overall Apr 26, 2025
0 W 1 L
NEMESIS Win rate 0.0%
Date Tournament Round Format RogueState_StephenCaro LordFarquaad2205 Result
Apr 26, 2025 sec Sector Qualifier Richmond R7 Premier 1588 1515 Loss
Backpack 0-1 0.0% 1 1558 Overall Apr 26, 2025
0 W 1 L
NEMESIS Win rate 0.0%
Date Tournament Round Format RogueState_StephenCaro Backpack Result
Apr 26, 2025 sec Sector Qualifier Richmond R6 Premier 1588 1554 Loss
sunnyd2293 1-0 100.0% 1 1569 Overall Apr 26, 2025
1 W 0 L
FAVORABLE Win rate 100.0%
Date Tournament Round Format RogueState_StephenCaro sunnyd2293 Result
Apr 26, 2025 sec Sector Qualifier Richmond R5 Premier 1588 1759 Win