xTone at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-2-2 Field 55

Rating after 1,409

+36

Rating before 1,373 RD 130

Rating after 1,409 RD 117

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,545

Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1373 → Swiss 1409 +35.8

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Mark Fichtel 0

CoolBowTiesAre 0

CannedIce 2

marshhhh 0

Gold630 2

vakarian 1

JElliot 2

Semifinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

CannedIce 0

Gold630 2

JElliot 0

Finals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Gold630 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 2-2-2 +35.8 1.0× +0.0 +35.8 1409

Total 2-2-2 +35.8 1409

Biggest upset Beat nickarist 1500 at 40% odds / surprise +0.6

Costliest loss Lost to Isaac_B 1464 at 42% odds / surprise -0.42 /

Matches (6)

R1 Isaac_B Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 ballz187 Win 2-0 1.0× +32.6 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 42% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R3 zach2519 Draw 1-1 1.0× +6.1 Swiss

R4 TripleARay Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 nickarist Win 2-0 1.0× +31.0 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 40% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).

R6 molaram Draw 1-1 1.0× +7.0 Swiss