xBosco at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-3-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,415
+98
Rating before 1,317 RD 132
Rating after 1,415 RD 118
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,723 vs field +151
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 +97.9 1.0× +0.0 +97.9 1415
Total 4-3-0 +97.9 1415
Biggest upset Beat Nonamesman 1703 at 22% odds / surprise +0.78
Costliest loss Lost to Frosenalex 1490 at 36% odds / surprise -0.36 / +58 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1703~ Nonamesman Win 22% 2-0 1.0× +43.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 22% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 180, true skill could span ±360).
R2 1475~ IorekByrnison Win 37% 2-0 1.0× +36.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 37% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 121, true skill could span ±242).
R3 1490 Frosenalex Loss 36% 1-2 1.0× -20.6 Swiss
R4 1446 Kanickel Win 39% 2-1 1.0× +35.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 39% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R5 1576 Sures Win 29% 2-0 1.0× +41.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 29% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R6 2103 Jadimi_TCT Loss 6% 0-2 1.0× -3.8 Swiss
R7 1690 Beckendorf Loss 22% 0-2 1.0× -12.8 Swiss
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