vesnuss at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 1-4-0 Field 63
Rating after 1,229
-21
Rating before 1,250 RD 114
Rating after 1,229 RD 107
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,063 vs field -531
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 1-4 -21.2 1.0× +0.0 -21.2 1229
Total 1-4-0 -21.2 1229
Biggest upset Beat Cread2 1279 at 48% odds / surprise +0.52
Costliest loss Lost to kosoluk 1480 at 32% odds / surprise -0.32 / +42 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1279~ Cread2 Win 48% 2-1 1.0× +22.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 146, true skill could span ±293).
R2 1480~ kosoluk Loss 32% 0-2 1.0× -13.5 Swiss
R3 1677~ Zaglobamlodszy Loss 19% 0-2 1.0× -8.3 Swiss
R4 1481~ Wosho Loss 32% 0-2 1.0× -13.5 Swiss
R5 1575~ Hubertos Loss 26% 0-2 1.0× -10.8 Swiss
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