vakarian at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-1-2 Field 55

Rating after 1,576

+69

Rating before 1,507 RD 94

Rating after 1,576 RD 92

Effective multiplier 0.98×

Performance 2,080

Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1507 → Swiss 1566 +59.3 → Quarterfinals 1561 -5.8 → Top-cut bonus 1576 +15.0

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Mark Fichtel 0

CoolBowTiesAre 0

CannedIce 2

marshhhh 0

Gold630 2

vakarian 1

JElliot 2

Semifinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

CannedIce 0

Gold630 2

JElliot 0

Finals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Gold630 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 4-0-2 +59.3 1.0× +0.0 +59.3 1566

Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -6.7 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +1.2 -5.5 1561

Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 55 +15.0 1576

Total 4-1-2 +68.8 1576

Biggest upset Beat Hunter Shelburne 1871 at 22% odds / surprise +0.78

Matches (7)

R1 CaramelGoodness Win 2-1 1.0× +9.2 Swiss

R2 politebark Win 2-1 1.0× +13.1 Swiss

R3 Hunter Shelburne Win 2-1 1.0× +23.8 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 22% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R4 YubDubberson Win 2-0 1.0× +17.2 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 43% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R5 marshhhh Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss

R6 CoolBowTiesAre Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss

QF JElliot Loss 1-2 0.82× Top Cut