tomszu at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 4-2-0 Field 63
Rating after 1,432
+87
Rating before 1,346 RD 128
Rating after 1,432 RD 117
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,803 vs field +209
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +86.6 1.0× +0.0 +86.6 1432
Total 4-2-0 +86.6 1432
Biggest upset Beat Adam Jurczyszyn 1745 at 20% odds / surprise +0.8

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1975 siny Loss 10% 0-2 1.0× -5.9 Swiss
R2 1221~ FORFUNN3000 Win 60% 2-0 1.0× +21.2 Swiss
R3 1657 Grzegorz_J Loss 26% 0-2 1.0× -14.2 Swiss
R4 1276~ SzyczyL Win 56% 2-0 1.0× +23.3 Swiss
R5 1481~ Wosho Win 39% 2-0 1.0× +32.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 39% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 141, true skill could span ±282).
R6 1745 Adam Jurczyszyn Win 20% 2-0 1.0× +44.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 20% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
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