toatz at Planetary Qualifier Sion

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 26, 2026 Record 2-3-1 Field 43
Rating after 1,503
+3
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,503 RD 178
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,517 vs field -46
Field strength Mean 1,563 · Median 1,554 · 43 rated 33rd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 2-3-1 +3.4 1.0× +0.0 +3.4 1503
Total 2-3-1 +3.4 1503
Biggest upset Beat Cycnos 1530 at 47% odds / surprise +0.53
Costliest loss Lost to Denis Kolmanic 1575 at 44% odds / surprise -0.44 / +181 swing

Matches (6)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ ErnaMaister Win 50% 2-0 1.0× +85.1 Swiss
R2 1878 Lukas Walter Loss 22% 0-2 1.0× -41.1 Swiss
R3 1575 Denis Kolmanic Loss 44% 0-1 1.0× -79.1 Swiss
R4 1530 Cycnos Win 47% 2-0 1.0× +95.0 Swiss
R5 1711 Mario Götz Loss 33% 0-2 1.0× -60.3 Swiss
R6 1532 ClemSpike Draw 47% 1-1 1.0× +4.9 Swiss
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