th3m493 at Planetary Qualifier Mechanicsburg

melee.gg
Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 2-3-1 Field 72
Rating after 1,427
+22
Rating before 1,405 RD 154
Rating after 1,427 RD 134
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,494 vs field -74
Field strength Mean 1,568 · Median 1,565 · 72 rated 38th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 2-3-1 +22.0 1.0× +0.0 +22.0 1427
Total 2-3-1 +22.0 1427
Biggest upset Beat KH44_MCG 1786 at 21% odds / surprise +0.79
Costliest loss Lost to GOLDENROUGE 1433 at 48% odds / surprise -0.48 / +76 swing

Matches (6)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1698~ edman218 Draw 27% 1-1 1.0× +17.4 Swiss
R2 1500~ pizney Win 43% 2-0 1.0× +40.8 Swiss
R3 1491~ Saladdodger101 Loss 43% 1-2 1.0× -32.5 Swiss
R4 1680 ScuttlebuttGDP Loss 28% 0-2 1.0× -21.8 Swiss
R5 1786 KH44_MCG Win 21% 2-1 1.0× +61.5 Swiss
R6 1433~ GOLDENROUGE Loss 48% 1-2 1.0× -36.1 Swiss
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