th3connman23 at Planetary Qualifier Edmonds

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-4-0 Field 64
Rating after 1,654
-43
Rating before 1,697 RD 95
Rating after 1,654 RD 91
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,320 vs field -270
Field strength Mean 1,590 · Median 1,568 · 64 rated 70th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 -42.8 1.0× +0.0 -42.8 1654
Total 2-4-0 -42.8 1654
Biggest upset Beat Zaqq 1689 at 51% odds / surprise +0.49
Costliest loss Lost to JadeMaybe 1429 at 71% odds / surprise -0.71 / +30 swing

Matches (6)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 2145 CarsonCarusoSWU Loss 18% 0-2 1.0× -5.6 Swiss
R2 1455 Ero Loss 69% 0-2 1.0× -21.3 Swiss
R3 1181 marcellg2 Win 85% 2-0 1.0× +4.6 Swiss
R4 1689 Zaqq Win 51% 2-0 1.0× +15.2 Swiss
R5 1566 SeamusBrown Loss 61% 0-2 1.0× -18.8 Swiss
R6 1429~ JadeMaybe Loss 71% 1-2 1.0× -21.2 Swiss
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