tguiboud at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-3-1 Field 82
Rating after 1,523
-66
Rating before 1,589 RD 175
Rating after 1,523 RD 147
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,353 vs field -226
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 1-3-1 -66.3 1.0× +0.0 -66.3 1523
Total 1-3-1 -66.3 1523
Biggest upset Beat Order514_Zardlin 1813 at 32% odds / surprise +0.68
Costliest loss Lost to D3ploy_MythicForce 1568 at 52% odds / surprise -0.52 / +96 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1813 Order514_Zardlin Win 32% 2-1 1.0× +66.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 32% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R2 1605 ORA_lordraptor Loss 49% 1-2 1.0× -46.6 Swiss
R3 1622 Order514_BRUCE Loss 47% 1-2 1.0× -45.4 Swiss
R4 1446~ ORA_Louisere Draw 62% 1-1 1.0× -11.1 Swiss
R5 1568 D3ploy_MythicForce Loss 52% 0-2 1.0× -49.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 52% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
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