suspect at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-4-0 Field 82

Rating after 1,554

-33

Rating before 1,587 RD 141

Rating after 1,554 RD 121

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,466

Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1587 → Swiss 1554 -32.8

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Krehlo_MythicForce 2

DavB87 0

Byrus_MythicForce 2

realready 1

Guacamol 0

Order514_Dinozor 2

Kevin Anctil 2

BennyBlues 0

Semifinals

Krehlo_MythicForce 2

Byrus_MythicForce 0

Order514_Dinozor 2

Kevin Anctil 1

Finals

Krehlo_MythicForce 1

Order514_Dinozor 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 7 matches 3-4 -32.8 1.0× +0.0 -32.8 1554

Total 3-4-0 -32.8 1554

Biggest upset Beat OMG 1610 at 48% odds / surprise +0.52

Costliest loss Lost to ORA_Louisere 1446 at 61% odds / surprise -0.61 /

Matches (7)

R1 ORA_Louisere Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 61% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 150, true skill could span ±299).

R2 ORA_JusDem Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R3 OMG Win 2-0 1.0× +33.8 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R4 RFrancisR Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 Gharuwill Win 2-0 1.0× +23.5 Swiss

R6 GarmBelIblis Win 2-1 1.0× +25.5 Swiss

R7 Order514_Madness Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.