spike27 at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 5-2-1 Field 68
Rating after 1,639
+89
Rating before 1,550 RD 117
Rating after 1,639 RD 106
Effective multiplier 0.97× weighted avg
Performance 1,873 vs field +301
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 5-1-1 +87.4 1.0× +0.0 +87.4 1638
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -16.7 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +3.0 -13.7 1622
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 68 +15.0 1637
Total 5-2-1 +88.7 1639
Biggest upset Beat Django84_TcT 1923 at 22% odds / surprise +0.78
Costliest loss Lost to Laukes 1639 at 50% odds / surprise -0.5 / +45 swing

Matches (8)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1482~ Inusasha Draw 56% 1-1 1.0× -2.6 Swiss
R2 1859 FatherComstock_TDM Loss 26% 0-2 1.0× -11.9 Swiss
R3 1633~ Momeck Win 43% 2-0 1.0× +25.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 43% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 147, true skill could span ±294).
R4 1301 ertlheimer Win 70% 2-0 1.0× +13.7 Swiss
R5 1500~ Mabo11 Win 54% 2-1 1.0× +19.4 Swiss
R6 1601 ChickenAreEvil_TDM Win 46% 2-1 1.0× +24.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 46% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R7 1923 Django84_TcT Win 22% 2-0 1.0× +36.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 22% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
QF 1639 Laukes Loss 50% 0-2 0.82× -16.0 Top Cut
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