Ethan Koeppe at Planetary Qualifier Mechanicsburg

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Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 5-2-0 Field 72
Rating after 1,767
+7
Rating before 1,761 RD 102
Rating after 1,767 RD 96
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,808 vs field +240
Field strength Mean 1,568 · Median 1,565 · 72 rated 38th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 5-2 +6.9 1.0× +0.0 +6.9 1767
Total 5-2-0 +6.9 1767
Biggest upset Beat craigpfeifer 1607 at 63% odds / surprise +0.37
Costliest loss Lost to Simkin7074 1569 at 66% odds / surprise -0.66 / +36 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1657 lydiaen Loss 59% 0-2 1.0× -20.7 Swiss
R2 1327~ whatsagoinon Win 80% 2-0 1.0× +6.8 Swiss
R3 1456~ LoganBrown Win 73% 2-1 1.0× +9.4 Swiss
R4 1489 berto Win 72% 2-0 1.0× +10.2 Swiss
R5 1569 Simkin7074 Loss 66% 0-2 1.0× -23.4 Swiss
R6 1588 LunarLynx Win 64% 2-0 1.0× +12.7 Swiss
R7 1607~ craigpfeifer Win 63% 2-0 1.0× +13.2 Swiss
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