qb at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 63
Rating after 1,449
+93
Rating before 1,356 RD 175
Rating after 1,449 RD 151
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,681 vs field +87
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 +93.1 1.0× +0.0 +93.1 1449
Total 3-3-0 +93.1 1449
Biggest upset Beat Rwodzu 1544 at 35% odds / surprise +0.65

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1277~ KhasteR Win 56% 2-0 1.0× +40.7 Swiss
R2 1368~ Kondziuldz Win 49% 2-0 1.0× +48.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 49% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 120, true skill could span ±241).
R3 1849 Erik Eroth Kaleta Loss 16% 0-2 1.0× -15.7 Swiss
R4 1544~ Rwodzu Win 35% 2-1 1.0× +62.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 35% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 129, true skill could span ±258).
R5 2225 Beton Loss 5% 1-2 1.0× -5.1 Swiss
R6 1848 StingPL Loss 16% 0-2 1.0× -15.8 Swiss
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