projector101 at Planetary Qualifier Radcliff

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-2-1 Field 44
Rating after 1,820
+33
Rating before 1,787 RD 76
Rating after 1,820 RD 77
Effective multiplier 0.95× weighted avg
Performance 1,977 vs field +394
Field strength Mean 1,583 · Median 1,522 · 44 rated 54th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-1-1 +25.7 1.0× +0.0 +25.7 1813
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -9.2 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +1.7 -7.6 1805
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 44 +15.0 1820
Total 4-2-1 +33.2 1820
Biggest upset Beat Shyvalry 1872 at 43% odds / surprise +0.57
Costliest loss Lost to Aaron Higgins 1827 at 49% odds / surprise -0.49 / +20 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1872 Shyvalry Win 43% 2-0 1.0× +11.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 43% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R2 1730~ jimunplayable Win 55% 2-0 1.0× +9.2 Swiss
R3 1920 NoahG1212 Loss 39% 1-2 1.0× -8.0 Swiss
R4 1772 ArmoredTusk Win 51% 2-1 1.0× +9.9 Swiss
R5 1409~ djb299 Win 78% 2-1 1.0× +4.5 Swiss
R6 1827 Aaron Higgins Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1827 Aaron Higgins Loss 49% 0-2 0.82× -7.9 Top Cut
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