ouchthegreat at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-2-0 Field 22

Rating after 1,505

+65

Rating before 1,440 RD 163

Rating after 1,505 RD 143

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,705

Field strength Mean 1,526 · Median 1,500 · 22 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.06 +0.09 +0.12 Losses -0.09 -0.14 -0.18

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1440 → Swiss 1505 +65.0

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Sungazer 2

RocketLight 0

UnableToWin 2

Adjcass 0

luka8luka 2

TonyFBaby 0

john196 0

Zeyaad Pandey 2

Semifinals

Sungazer 2

UnableToWin 0

luka8luka 0

Zeyaad Pandey 2

Finals

Sungazer 1

Zeyaad Pandey 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 5 matches 3-2 +65.0 1.0× +0.0 +65.0 1505

Total 3-2-0 +65.0 1505

Biggest upset Beat RGB_Dave 1692 at 30% odds / surprise +0.7

Costliest loss Lost to TonyFBaby 1622 at 35% odds / surprise -0.35 /

Matches (5)

R1 meagan23 Win 2-0 1.0× +23.9 Swiss

R2 TonyFBaby Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R3 Joshua Pietersen Win 2-1 1.0× +44.9 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 45% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 187, true skill could span ±373).

R4 Zeyaad Pandey Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 RGB_Dave Win 2-1 1.0× +59.3 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 30% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 134, true skill could span ±269).