ndj38 at Planetary Qualifier Edmonds

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 64
Rating after 1,438
+140
Rating before 1,298 RD 220
Rating after 1,438 RD 174
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,618 vs field +28
Field strength Mean 1,590 · Median 1,568 · 64 rated 70th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 +139.8 1.0× +0.0 +139.8 1438
Total 3-3-0 +139.8 1438
Biggest upset Beat Bran Aasen 1553 at 30% odds / surprise +0.7

Matches (6)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1506 zholly15 Win 33% 2-0 1.0× +98.0 Swiss
R2 1307~ bryangb77 Win 49% 2-0 1.0× +71.5 Swiss
R3 1553 Bran Aasen Win 30% 2-1 1.0× +104.7 Swiss
R4 1755 StephenGower Loss 17% 1-2 1.0× -26.7 Swiss
R5 1802 Derrick Moyer Loss 15% 0-2 1.0× -23.5 Swiss
R6 1756 tomnute Loss 17% 0-2 1.0× -26.7 Swiss
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