Rankings / Rafael Navarro / Planetary Qualifier São Paulo

Rafael Navarro at Planetary Qualifier São Paulo

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Planetary Premier April 18, 2026 Record 5-1-2
Rating after 1,888
+13
Rating before 1,874 RD 83
Rating after 1,888 RD 80
Effective multiplier 1.05x delta-weighted

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss. Top-cut rounds add more on top (Quarterfinals +0.15, Semifinals +0.25, Finals +0.35).

Phase Record Raw Glicko-2 Multiplier Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 5-0 +33.8 1.0× +33.8 1908
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -19.1 1.15× -22.0 1886
Total 5-1-2 +13.5 1888

Phase numbers use each opponent’s pre-tournament rating (the one shown on the leaderboard). The engine uses the opponent’s rating at the moment of the match — which for top-cut rounds includes their own Swiss performance — so the phase contributions above are approximate for Quarterfinals, Semifinals, and Finals. The Total is the engine’s actual output.

Biggest upset Beat JARS_Savanini 1820 at 56% odds / surprise +0.44
Costliest loss Lost to Fabianno Xavier 1500 at 81% odds / surprise -0.81

Matches (8)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1595 JARS_Cosimato Win 76% 2-0 1.15x Swiss
R2 1591 JARS_Burza Win 76% 2-1 1.15x Swiss
R3 1400 JARS_Thoto Win 86% 2-0 1.15x Swiss
R4 1598 Zapuy Win 76% 2-1 1.15x Swiss
▲ R5 1820 JARS_Savanini Win 56% 2-0 1.15x Swiss
R6 1773 GustavoKenzo Draw — 0-0 1.15x Swiss
R7 1738 Rocha Draw — 0-0 1.15x Swiss
▼ QF 1500 Fabianno Xavier Loss 81% 0-2 1.15x Top Cut

Per-match multipliers reflect what the engine applied at the time this snapshot was recorded. The Effective Multiplier above is a delta-weighted average across all phases — Finals matches swing the headline more than Swiss rounds when they produced bigger rating changes. How it works.