Miranda Ketita at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-4-0 Field 82
Rating after 1,679
-34
Rating before 1,713 RD 109
Rating after 1,679 RD 101
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,503 vs field -76
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-4 -34.0 1.0× +0.0 -34.0 1679
Total 3-4-0 -34.0 1679
Biggest upset Beat Lavarennez 1950 at 31% odds / surprise +0.69
Costliest loss Lost to kunshuf 1419 at 72% odds / surprise -0.72 / +38 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1950 Lavarennez Win 31% 2-1 1.0× +27.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 31% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R2 1419~ kunshuf Loss 72% 0-2 1.0× -27.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 72% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 235, true skill could span ±469).
R3 1662 ORA_KillMathy Win 54% 2-0 1.0× +18.3 Swiss
R4 1445~ Obi-Dan Loss 71% 1-2 1.0× -28.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 71% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 127, true skill could span ±253).
R5 1500~ Gounaki Loss 66% 1-2 1.0× -24.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 66% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R6 1448~ NicolasMonteilhet Win 71% 2-0 1.0× +11.6 Swiss
R7 1780 RFrancisR Loss 44% 1-2 1.0× -17.8 Swiss
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