nWo_DerAmberg at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-3-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,589
+4
Rating before 1,585 RD 97
Rating after 1,589 RD 90
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,611 vs field +39
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 +3.5 1.0× +0.0 +3.5 1589
Total 4-3-0 +3.5 1589
Biggest upset Beat MicW12 1603 at 49% odds / surprise +0.51
Costliest loss Lost to bartomanix_TDM 1457 at 61% odds / surprise -0.61 / +32 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1387 RollRobin Win 66% 2-0 1.0× +10.9 Swiss
R2 1725 SpaceGoose_TCT Loss 38% 1-2 1.0× -12.4 Swiss
R3 1457 bartomanix_TDM Loss 61% 1-2 1.0× -19.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 61% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R4 1464 Yacone Win 60% 2-0 1.0× +12.7 Swiss
R5 1603~ MicW12 Win 49% 2-0 1.0× +16.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 49% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 147, true skill could span ±295).
R6 1576 Sures Loss 51% 0-2 1.0× -16.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 51% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R7 1460~ Chris7016 Win 60% 2-0 1.0× +12.6 Swiss
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