nWo_BoboWanKenobi at Planetary Qualifier Osnabrück

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Planetary Premier January 05, 2025 Record 3-3-1 Field 116

Rating after 1,628

-46

Rating before 1,674 RD 170

Rating after 1,628 RD 140

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,541

Field strength Mean 1,529 · Median 1,500 · 116 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1674 → Swiss 1628 -46.1

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

T85Challenge 2

IRael 1

GLHF_MrHamburg 0

GLHF_Knevil 2

Magnetar 0

Firebrand 2

Suardo_TCT 2

Fanti 1

Semifinals

T85Challenge 2

GLHF_Knevil 0

Firebrand 2

Suardo_TCT 1

Finals

T85Challenge 2

Firebrand 1

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 7 matches 3-3-1 -46.1 1.0× +0.0 -46.1 1628

Total 3-3-1 -46.1 1628

Biggest upset Beat Fetzi85 1661 at 51% odds / surprise +0.49

Costliest loss Lost to MikaM 1321 at 76% odds / surprise -0.76 /

Matches (7)

R1 GLHF_Skulphire Draw 1-1 1.0× +7.4 Swiss

R2 Fetzi85 Win 2-1 1.0× +43.7 Swiss

R3 FufuBerlin Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 54% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 145, true skill could span ±290).

R4 MikaM Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 76% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 145, true skill could span ±290).

R5 esdalan Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 63% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).

R6 HubiKenobi Win 2-0 1.0× +31.6 Swiss

R7 MastruWasBeer Win 2-1 1.0× +26.5 Swiss