Rankings / nWo_BoboWanKenobi / Planetary Qualifier Guetersloh

nWo_BoboWanKenobi at Planetary Qualifier Guetersloh

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Planetary Premier January 11, 2025 Record 3-4-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,595
-33
Rating before 1,628 RD 140
Rating after 1,595 RD 121
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,513 vs field -23
Field strength Mean 1,536 · Median 1,500 · 68 rated 84th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q1

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Quarterfinals
T85Challenge 2
SimonNeumann_TcT 1
Flammenhand_BW 0
Tom Jehle 2
Fanti 0
Firebrand 2
noel11 0
Erik_TCT 2
Semifinals
T85Challenge 1
Tom Jehle 2
Firebrand 1
Erik_TCT 2
Finals
Tom Jehle 0
Erik_TCT 2
See full bracket on the event page →
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-4 -32.8 1.0× +0.0 -32.8 1595
Total 3-4-0 -32.8 1595
Biggest upset Beat Menicks 1500 at 60% odds / surprise +0.4
Toughest win Beat nWo_Hanya 1506 at 60% odds
Costliest loss Lost to SimonNeumann_TcT 1547 at 57% odds / surprise -0.57 / +62 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 ▲ 1500~ Menicks Win 60% 2-0 1.0× +23.9 Swiss
R2 1500~ Bo2mel Win 60% 2-0 1.0× +23.9 Swiss
R3 ▼ 1547~ SimonNeumann_TcT Loss 57% 1-2 1.0× -35.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 57% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 173, true skill could span ±347).
R4 1599~ Topdecker_Chupon Loss 52% 1-2 1.0× -32.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 52% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 172, true skill could span ±345).
R5 1506~ nWo_Hanya Win 60% 2-0 1.0× +25.4 Swiss
R6 1823~ GLHF_Skulphire Loss 34% 0-2 1.0× -21.8 Swiss
R7 1747 Suardo_TCT Loss 40% 1-2 1.0× -25.6 Swiss

Per-match multipliers reflect what the engine applied at the time this snapshot was recorded. The Effective Multiplier above is a delta-weighted average across all phases — Finals matches swing the headline more than Swiss rounds when they produced bigger rating changes. How it works.

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