nWo_BoboWanKenobi at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier May 17, 2025 Record 7-2-1 Field 68
Rating after 1,765
+170
Rating before 1,595 RD 126
Rating after 1,765 RD 112
Effective multiplier 1.01× weighted avg
Performance 2,108 vs field +570
Field strength Mean 1,538 · Median 1,500 · 68 rated 63rd Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 5-1-1 +109.0 1.0× +0.0 +109.0 1704
Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +22.3 1.12× 1.00 · +0.12 +2.7 +25.0 1726
Semifinals · 1 match 1-0 +27.9 1.18× 1.00 · +0.18 +5.0 +32.9 1757
Finals · 1 match 0-1 -18.6 0.65× 1.00 · -0.35 +6.5 -12.1 1744
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 68 +15.0 1759
Total 7-2-1 +169.9 1765
Biggest upset Beat Fanti 1914 at 25% odds / surprise +0.75
Costliest loss Lost to Suardo_TCT 1792 at 47% odds / surprise -0.47 / +56 swing

Matches (10)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1449 Tillmann Win 62% 2-0 1.0× +19.8 Swiss
R2 1914 Fanti Win 25% 2-1 1.0× +39.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 25% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1545~ olaisen86 Win 54% 2-1 1.0× +23.3 Swiss
R4 1846 vGoet_TcT Win 30% 2-1 1.0× +37.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 30% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R5 1680~ Menicks Loss 43% 0-2 1.0× -21.9 Swiss
R6 1737 SpaceGoose_TCT Win 38% 2-1 1.0× +32.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 38% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R7 1859 Firebrand Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1645 SimonNeumann_TcT Win 55% 2-1 1.12× +31.9 Top Cut
Semis 1859 Firebrand Win 39% 2-1 1.18× +44.6 Top Cut
Glicko-2 predicted only 39% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
Finals 1792 Suardo_TCT Loss 47% 1-2 0.65× -11.6 Top Cut
// keyboard

Shortcuts

Focus search
/
Next row
j
Previous row
k
Open focused row
Enter
Show / hide this panel
?
Close dialogs
Esc

j / k navigate rows on the leaderboard and tournaments index. Arrow keys work too.