nWo_BoboWanKenobi at Planetary Qualifier Osnabrück

melee.gg
Planetary Premier January 04, 2026 Record 4-3-0 Field 106
Rating after 1,811
-39
Rating before 1,850 RD 98
Rating after 1,811 RD 94
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,588 vs field +22
Field strength Mean 1,566 · Median 1,511 · 106 rated 54th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q1

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 -39.2 1.0× +0.0 -39.2 1811
Total 4-3-0 -39.2 1811
Toughest win Beat carnage98 1500 at 75% odds
Costliest loss Lost to Lasset650_BW 1554 at 73% odds / surprise -0.73 / +33 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1484~ nWo_DerAmberg Win 77% 2-0 1.0× +7.4 Swiss
R2 1589~ TCT_Adrian Loss 70% 1-2 1.0× -22.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 70% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 177, true skill could span ±353).
R3 1579 Raffael Loss 72% 0-2 1.0× -23.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 72% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R4 1500~ carnage98 Win 75% 2-1 1.0× +7.7 Swiss
R5 1351~ Kjeldoran1980 Win 84% 2-1 1.0× +5.2 Swiss
R6 1554 Lasset650_BW Loss 73% 1-2 1.0× -24.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 73% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R7 1425~ SirHenri Win 80% 2-1 1.0× +6.4 Swiss
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