molaram at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-2-2 Field 55

Rating after 1,524

Rating before 1,524 RD 115

Rating after 1,524 RD 105

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,522

Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1524 → Swiss 1524 -0.4

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Mark Fichtel 0

CoolBowTiesAre 0

CannedIce 2

marshhhh 0

Gold630 2

vakarian 1

JElliot 2

Semifinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

CannedIce 0

Gold630 2

JElliot 0

Finals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Gold630 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 2-2-2 -0.4 1.0× +0.0 -0.4 1524

Total 2-2-2 -0.4 1524

Biggest upset Beat Gawgles 1563 at 47% odds / surprise +0.53

Costliest loss Lost to Awnetu 1432 at 58% odds / surprise -0.58 /

Matches (6)

R1 Gawgles Win 2-1 1.0× +23.1 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 47% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±305).

R2 Awnetu Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 58% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 120, true skill could span ±241).

R3 Luwunacat Draw 1-1 1.0× +5.7 Swiss

R4 politebark Win 2-0 1.0× +18.5 Swiss

R5 Broknows101 Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R6 xTone Draw 1-1 1.0× -5.5 Swiss