miguividal at Planetary Qualifier Oviedo

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 6-2-1 Field 44
Rating after 1,873
+29
Rating before 1,845 RD 120
Rating after 1,873 RD 112
Effective multiplier 0.93× weighted avg
Performance 1,883 vs field +338
Field strength Mean 1,545 · Median 1,519 · 44 rated 14th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-1-1 +12.5 1.0× +0.0 +12.5 1857
Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +12.4 1.12× 1.00 · +0.12 +1.5 +13.9 1865
Semifinals · 1 match 1-0 +16.7 1.18× 1.00 · +0.18 +3.0 +19.7 1882
Finals · 1 match 0-1 -27.0 0.65× 1.00 · -0.35 +9.4 -17.5 1863
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 44 +15.0 1878
Total 6-2-1 +28.5 1873
Biggest upset Beat Vanieh 1863 at 48% odds / surprise +0.52
Costliest loss Lost to DarkArrow 1442 at 80% odds / surprise -0.8 / +48 swing

Matches (9)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1188~ CanelRob Win 90% 2-0 1.0× +4.8 Swiss
R2 1652 Loira Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
R3 1500~ tiradeljoystick Win 75% 2-0 1.0× +11.3 Swiss
R4 1500~ DiegoAguiar Win 75% 2-0 1.0× +11.3 Swiss
R5 1442 DarkArrow Loss 80% 0-2 1.0× -38.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 80% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R6 1863 Vanieh Win 48% 2-0 1.0× +24.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
QF 1354~ Evilcloud Win 84% 2-0 1.12× +8.8 Top Cut
Semis 1661 Fuegoscuro86 Win 67% 2-1 1.18× +19.7 Top Cut
Finals 1652 Loira Loss 69% 1-2 0.65× -20.5 Top Cut
Glicko-2 predicted 69% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
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