meagan23 at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-4-0 Field 22
Rating after 1,143
-18
Rating before 1,161 RD 162
Rating after 1,143 RD 145
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,072 vs field -454
Field strength Mean 1,526 · Median 1,500 · 22 rated 12th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 1-4 -18.4 1.0× +0.0 -18.4 1143
Total 1-4-0 -18.4 1143
Biggest upset Beat KimVee 1500 at 25% odds / surprise +0.75
Costliest loss Lost to bolanki 1400 at 31% odds / surprise -0.31 / +83 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1440~ ouchthegreat Loss 28% 0-2 1.0× -23.6 Swiss
R2 1474~ Bruce537 Loss 26% 0-2 1.0× -21.8 Swiss
R3 1400~ bolanki Loss 31% 0-2 1.0× -25.9 Swiss
R4 1692~ RGB_Dave Loss 14% 0-2 1.0× -12.4 Swiss
R5 1500~ KimVee Win 25% 2-0 1.0× +61.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 25% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 187, true skill could span ±373).
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