Rankings / Michael Ashbaugh / Sector Qualifier Atlanta

Michael Ashbaugh at Sector Qualifier Atlanta

melee.gg
Sector Premier April 18, 2026 Record 10-3-0
Rating after 1,852
+80
Rating before 1,772 RD 87
Rating after 1,852 RD 81
Effective multiplier 1.17x delta-weighted

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Sector tier multiplier (1.15×) amplifies every gain and every loss. Top-cut rounds add more on top (Quarterfinals +0.15, Semifinals +0.25, Finals +0.35).

Phase Record Raw Glicko-2 Multiplier Applied Running
Swiss · 12 matches 10-2 +80.1 1.15× +92.1 1864
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -10.3 1.3× -13.4 1850
Total 10-3-0 +80.3 1852

Phase numbers use each opponent’s pre-tournament rating (the one shown on the leaderboard). The engine uses the opponent’s rating at the moment of the match — which for top-cut rounds includes their own Swiss performance — so the phase contributions above are approximate for Quarterfinals, Semifinals, and Finals. The Total is the engine’s actual output.

Biggest upset Beat ECL_dts 2121 at 23% odds / surprise +0.77
Costliest loss Lost to Carlos Apodaca 1908 at 46% odds / surprise -0.46

Matches (13)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1626 86_Stache Win 62% 2-0 1.3x Swiss
R2 1184 JustAnotherPokeDad Win 88% 2-0 1.3x Swiss
R3 1866 MCG_Hannonz Win 42% 2-0 1.3x Swiss
R4 1633 EdgySithLord Win 62% 2-1 1.3x Swiss
R5 1435 Cubanoid Win 76% 2-1 1.3x Swiss
R6 1738 minicaptn Win 53% 2-1 1.3x Swiss
R7 1908 Carlos Apodaca Win 39% 2-0 1.3x Swiss
R8 1939 ECL_Reflex Loss 36% 0-2 1.3x Swiss
R9 1970 ECL_Curti43 Loss 34% 0-2 1.3x Swiss
R10 1685 Blake Edmondson Win 57% 2-1 1.3x Swiss
R11 1681 spideyguy0 Win 58% 2-1 1.3x Swiss
▲ R12 2121 ECL_dts Win 23% 2-1 1.3x Swiss
▼ QF 1908 Carlos Apodaca Loss 46% 0-2 1.3x Top Cut

Per-match multipliers reflect what the engine applied at the time this snapshot was recorded. The Effective Multiplier above is a delta-weighted average across all phases — Finals matches swing the headline more than Swiss rounds when they produced bigger rating changes. How it works.