Rankings / marshhhh / Planetary Qualifier CONROE

marshhhh at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-1-2 Field 55
Rating after 1,883
+47
Rating before 1,836 RD 90
Rating after 1,883 RD 89
Effective multiplier 0.96× weighted avg
Performance 2,188 vs field +600
Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated 62nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Quarterfinals
Gungang_Istvan 2
Mark Fichtel 0
CoolBowTiesAre 0
CannedIce 2
marshhhh 0
Gold630 2
vakarian 1
JElliot 2
Semifinals
Gungang_Istvan 2
CannedIce 0
Gold630 2
JElliot 0
Finals
Gungang_Istvan 2
Gold630 0
See full bracket on the event page →
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-0-2 +42.4 1.0× +0.0 +42.4 1878
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -12.4 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +2.2 -10.2 1867
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 55 +15.0 1882
Total 4-1-2 +47.3 1883
Biggest upset Beat Gold630 1904 at 44% odds / surprise +0.56
Costliest loss Lost to Gold630 1904 at 48% odds / surprise -0.48 / +28 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1486~ Vega13x Win 76% 2-1 1.0× +6.6 Swiss
R2 1528~ Undefineddawn Win 74% 2-0 1.0× +7.3 Swiss
R3 1897 JElliot Win 45% 2-0 1.0× +15.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 45% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R4 ▲ 1904 Gold630 Win 44% 2-0 1.0× +15.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 44% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R5 1507 vakarian Draw — 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
R6 1864 Gungang_Istvan Draw — 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF ▼ 1904 Gold630 Loss 48% 0-2 0.82× -10.2 Top Cut

Per-match multipliers reflect what the engine applied at the time this snapshot was recorded. The Effective Multiplier above is a delta-weighted average across all phases — Finals matches swing the headline more than Swiss rounds when they produced bigger rating changes. How it works.

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