Rankings / marcowillen / Planetary Qualifier São Paulo

marcowillen at Planetary Qualifier São Paulo

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Planetary Premier April 18, 2026 Record 4-3-0
Rating after 1,602
-2
Rating before 1,604 RD 83
Rating after 1,602 RD 78
Effective multiplier 1.0x delta-weighted

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss. Top-cut rounds add more on top (Quarterfinals +0.15, Semifinals +0.25, Finals +0.35).

Phase Record Raw Glicko-2 Multiplier Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 -2.4 1.0× -2.4 1602
Total 4-3-0 -2.4 1602
Biggest upset Beat Felipe Abreu 1759 at 35% odds / surprise +0.65
Costliest loss Lost to Stevens 1307 at 77% odds / surprise -0.77

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1324 0left Win 75% 2-1 1.15x Swiss
R2 1447 Jonatas Diniz Loss 66% 0-2 1.15x Swiss
▼ R3 1307 Stevens Loss 77% 1-2 1.15x Swiss
▲ R4 1759 Felipe Abreu Win 35% 2-1 1.15x Swiss
R5 1948 JARS_MatheusAlves Loss 20% 0-2 1.15x Swiss
R6 1351 WallaceErom Win 73% 2-0 1.15x Swiss
R7 1451 Jazz_D Win 65% 2-0 1.15x Swiss

Per-match multipliers reflect what the engine applied at the time this snapshot was recorded. The Effective Multiplier above is a delta-weighted average across all phases — Finals matches swing the headline more than Swiss rounds when they produced bigger rating changes. How it works.