luka8luka at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 5-1-1 Field 22
Rating after 2,046
+16
Rating before 2,029 RD 133
Rating after 2,046 RD 127
Effective multiplier 0.94× weighted avg
Performance 2,056 vs field +530
Field strength Mean 1,526 · Median 1,500 · 22 rated 12th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 4-0-1 +28.6 1.0× +0.0 +28.6 2058
Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +10.4 1.06× 1.00 · +0.06 +0.6 +11.0 2069
Semifinals · 1 match 0-1 -36.2 0.87× 1.00 · -0.14 +4.9 -31.3 2037
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 22 +8.0 2045
Total 5-1-1 +16.2 2046
Toughest win Beat TonyFBaby 1622 at 81% odds
Costliest loss Lost to Zeyaad Pandey 1825 at 69% odds / surprise -0.69 / +54 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1474~ Bruce537 Win 86% 2-0 1.0× +8.0 Swiss
R2 1400~ bolanki Win 89% 2-0 1.0× +6.5 Swiss
R3 1426~ Adjcass Win 88% 2-0 1.0× +7.1 Swiss
R4 1500~ Henteezy Win 84% 2-0 1.0× +8.8 Swiss
R5 1500~ Sungazer Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1622~ TonyFBaby Win 81% 2-0 1.06× +12.6 Top Cut
Semis 1825~ Zeyaad Pandey Loss 69% 0-2 0.87× -33.2 Top Cut
Glicko-2 predicted 69% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 138, true skill could span ±276).
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