llopez101 at Planetary Qualifier Yuma

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Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 6-2-1 Field 43

Rating after 1,721

+158

Rating before 1,563 RD 152

Rating after 1,721 RD 128

Effective multiplier 1.02×

Performance 1,948

Field strength Mean 1,575 · Median 1,552 · 42 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1563 → Swiss 1649 +85.8 → Quarterfinals 1673 +23.5 → Semifinals 1700 +27.5 → Finals 1689 -11.5 → Top-cut bonus 1704 +15.0

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Spencer Freeman 2

JonahBR 0

llopez101 2

_ODIN_WAN_KENOBI_ 1

CBG_Taylor 2

CheeseKahuna 0

Arteiris 2

CBG_Ruben 1

Semifinals

Spencer Freeman 2

CBG_Taylor 0

llopez101 2

Arteiris 0

Finals

Spencer Freeman 2

llopez101 1

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 4-1-1 +85.8 1.0× +0.0 +85.8 1649

Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +29.4 1.12× 1.00 · +0.12 +3.5 +32.9 1673

Semifinals · 1 match 1-0 +28.7 1.18× 1.00 · +0.18 +5.2 +33.8 1700

Finals · 1 match 0-1 -14.6 0.65× 1.00 · -0.35 +5.1 -9.5 1689

Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 43 +15.0 1704

Total 6-2-1 +158.0 1721

Biggest upset Beat SBS_Luke 1694 at 39% odds / surprise +0.61

Costliest loss Lost to CBG_Ruben 1616 at 46% odds / surprise -0.46 /

Matches (9)

R1 crayzd Win 2-0 1.0× +24.7 Swiss

R2 SBS_bluepawn Win 2-0 1.0× +38.4 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 47% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).

R3 CBG_Ruben Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R4 _ODIN_WAN_KENOBI_ Win 2-1 1.0× +31.2 Swiss

R5 SBS_Luke Win 2-1 1.0× +45.3 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 39% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R6 Spencer Freeman Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss

QF _ODIN_WAN_KENOBI_ Win 2-1 1.12× +34.9 Top Cut

Semis Arteiris Win 2-0 1.18× +43.4 Top Cut

Finals Spencer Freeman Loss 1-2 0.65× Top Cut