larisah at Planetary Qualifier Mechanicsburg

melee.gg
Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 1-6-0 Field 72
Rating after 1,168
-54
Rating before 1,222 RD 152
Rating after 1,168 RD 133
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 959 vs field -609
Field strength Mean 1,568 · Median 1,565 · 72 rated 38th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 1-6 -54.3 1.0× +0.0 -54.3 1168
Total 1-6-0 -54.3 1168
Biggest upset Beat ChristianMclean85 1500 at 30% odds / surprise +0.7
Costliest loss Lost to Jedirock 1434 at 33% odds / surprise -0.33 / +74 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ deertown1 Loss 30% 1-2 1.0× -20.6 Swiss
R2 1834 leumas81 Loss 11% 0-2 1.0× -8.6 Swiss
R3 1465 jillyfishe Loss 30% 0-2 1.0× -22.9 Swiss
R4 1500~ Phillifer Loss 30% 1-2 1.0× -20.6 Swiss
R5 1434~ Jedirock Loss 33% 0-2 1.0× -24.4 Swiss
R6 1500~ thrawnypants Loss 30% 1-2 1.0× -20.6 Swiss
R7 1500~ ChristianMclean85 Win 30% 2-0 1.0× +49.2 Swiss
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