jugando_cartones at Planetary Qualifier Oviedo

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-2-0 Field 44
Rating after 1,542
+18
Rating before 1,524 RD 81
Rating after 1,542 RD 79
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,723 vs field +178
Field strength Mean 1,545 · Median 1,519 · 44 rated 14th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +18.4 1.0× +0.0 +18.4 1542
Total 4-2-0 +18.4 1542
Biggest upset Beat Ferrepower 1658 at 39% odds / surprise +0.61
Costliest loss Lost to Battosai13 1312 at 67% odds / surprise -0.67 / +23 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1652 Loira Loss 39% 1-2 1.0× -9.0 Swiss
R2 1312~ Battosai13 Loss 67% 0-2 1.0× -15.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 67% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).
R3 1514~ amigomarcos Win 51% 2-0 1.0× +11.2 Swiss
R4 1658~ Ferrepower Win 39% 2-0 1.0× +13.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 39% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 156, true skill could span ±313).
R5 1500~ tiradeljoystick Win 52% 1-0 1.0× +10.2 Swiss
R6 1403~ klyssus Win 60% 2-1 1.0× +9.0 Swiss
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