jorsot4 at Planetary Qualifier Oviedo

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-4-0 Field 44
Rating after 1,356
-144
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,356 RD 180
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,203 vs field -342
Field strength Mean 1,545 · Median 1,519 · 44 rated 14th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 -143.8 1.0× +0.0 -143.8 1356
Total 2-4-0 -143.8 1356
Biggest upset Beat IvanBarrio 1500 at 50% odds / surprise +0.5
Costliest loss Lost to Battosai13 1312 at 65% odds / surprise -0.65 / +180 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1504~ Yoda FGC Loss 50% 1-2 1.0× -87.2 Swiss
R2 1500~ erizonte Loss 50% 1-2 1.0× -85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R3 1548~ Flowman Loss 46% 0-2 1.0× -81.9 Swiss
R4 1188~ CanelRob Win 74% 2-0 1.0× +48.2 Swiss
R5 1500~ IvanBarrio Win 50% 2-1 1.0× +85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R6 1312~ Battosai13 Loss 65% 0-2 1.0× -117.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 65% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).
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