john196 at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-2-1 Field 22

Rating after 1,714

+37

Rating before 1,677 RD 150

Rating after 1,714 RD 134

Effective multiplier 0.97×

Performance 1,789

Field strength Mean 1,526 · Median 1,500 · 22 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.06 +0.09 +0.12 Losses -0.09 -0.14 -0.18

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1677 → Swiss 1729 +51.5 → Quarterfinals 1706 -23.0 → Top-cut bonus 1714 +8.0

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Sungazer 2

RocketLight 0

UnableToWin 2

Adjcass 0

luka8luka 2

TonyFBaby 0

john196 0

Zeyaad Pandey 2

Semifinals

Sungazer 2

UnableToWin 0

luka8luka 0

Zeyaad Pandey 2

Finals

Sungazer 1

Zeyaad Pandey 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 5 matches 3-1-1 +51.5 1.0× +0.0 +51.5 1729

Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -24.9 0.91× 1.00 · -0.09 +2.2 -22.7 1706

Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 22 +8.0 1714

Total 3-2-1 +36.8 1714

Biggest upset Beat Zeyaad Pandey 1825 at 38% odds / surprise +0.62

Costliest loss Lost to Sungazer 1500 at 64% odds / surprise -0.64 /

Matches (6)

R1 prettyflyforajedi Win 2-0 1.0× +32.5 Swiss

R2 Joshua Pietersen Win 2-0 1.0× +25.3 Swiss

R3 Zeyaad Pandey Win 2-1 1.0× +44.7 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 38% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 138, true skill could span ±276).

R4 Sungazer Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 64% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).

R5 Adjcass Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss

QF Zeyaad Pandey Loss 0-2 0.91× Top Cut