Jan Jurczyszyn at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

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Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 2-4-0 Field 63
Rating after 1,419
-37
Rating before 1,456 RD 106
Rating after 1,419 RD 99
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,208 vs field -386
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 -37.0 1.0× +0.0 -37.0 1419
Total 2-4-0 -37.0 1419
Biggest upset Beat DuxPL 1409 at 54% odds / surprise +0.46
Costliest loss Lost to Danuel_Nie 1304 at 62% odds / surprise -0.62 / +37 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1368~ Kondziuldz Loss 57% 1-2 1.0× -21.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 57% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 120, true skill could span ±241).
R2 1879 Szavi Loss 19% 1-2 1.0× -7.3 Swiss
R3 1466 Zaglobnik Loss 49% 0-2 1.0× -18.5 Swiss
R4 1221~ FORFUNN3000 Win 69% 2-1 1.0× +11.6 Swiss
R5 1304~ Danuel_Nie Loss 62% 1-2 1.0× -23.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 62% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 144, true skill could span ±289).
R6 1409~ DuxPL Win 54% 2-0 1.0× +16.8 Swiss
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