isca31 at Planetary Qualifier Mechanicsburg

melee.gg
Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 5-2-0 Field 72
Rating after 1,855
+13
Rating before 1,843 RD 103
Rating after 1,855 RD 96
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,916 vs field +348
Field strength Mean 1,568 · Median 1,565 · 72 rated 38th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 5-2 +12.5 1.0× +0.0 +12.5 1855
Total 5-2-0 +12.5 1855
Biggest upset Beat leumas81 1834 at 51% odds / surprise +0.49
Costliest loss Lost to troybritt 1500 at 74% odds / surprise -0.74 / +34 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ troybritt Loss 74% 0-2 1.0× -25.0 Swiss
R2 1738 ECL_Tetra_Clewis Win 59% 2-1 1.0× +14.8 Swiss
R3 1834 leumas81 Win 51% 2-0 1.0× +17.7 Swiss
R4 1576 Drew Beall Win 71% 2-1 1.0× +10.4 Swiss
R5 1588 LunarLynx Win 70% 2-1 1.0× +10.7 Swiss
R6 1698~ edman218 Loss 62% 0-2 1.0× -22.1 Swiss
R7 1450~ Jon Shimer Win 78% 2-1 1.0× +7.6 Swiss
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