Doug Rawald at Planetary Qualifier Mechanicsburg

melee.gg
Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 3-4-0 Field 72
Rating after 1,552
-35
Rating before 1,588 RD 106
Rating after 1,552 RD 98
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,400 vs field -168
Field strength Mean 1,568 · Median 1,565 · 72 rated 38th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-4 -35.5 1.0× +0.0 -35.5 1552
Total 3-4-0 -35.5 1552
Biggest upset Beat Greg Robb 1500 at 57% odds / surprise +0.43
Costliest loss Lost to Tylerb213 1470 at 60% odds / surprise -0.6 / +37 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1327~ whatsagoinon Win 70% 2-1 1.0× +10.9 Swiss
R2 1569 Simkin7074 Loss 52% 0-2 1.0× -19.6 Swiss
R3 1489 berto Loss 58% 0-2 1.0× -22.2 Swiss
R4 1500~ Greg Robb Win 57% 2-0 1.0× +15.2 Swiss
R5 1470~ Tylerb213 Loss 60% 1-2 1.0× -22.2 Swiss
R6 1382~ Ian Lamb Win 66% 2-0 1.0× +12.5 Swiss
R7 1680 ScuttlebuttGDP Loss 42% 1-2 1.0× -16.0 Swiss
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