Christopher Lefrancois at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-2-0 Field 82
Rating after 1,663
-19
Rating before 1,682 RD 166
Rating after 1,663 RD 145
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,602 vs field +23
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 3-2 -19.4 1.0× +0.0 -19.4 1663
Total 3-2-0 -19.4 1663
Biggest upset Beat PneuDeChar 1604 at 57% odds / surprise +0.43
Costliest loss Lost to Disnard 1343 at 75% odds / surprise -0.75 / +87 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Gounaki Win 64% 2-0 1.0× +29.6 Swiss
R2 1604 PneuDeChar Win 57% 2-0 1.0× +37.9 Swiss
R3 1343~ Disnard Loss 75% 1-2 1.0× -65.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 75% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 171, true skill could span ±342).
R4 1419~ kunshuf Win 70% 2-0 1.0× +25.2 Swiss
R5 1500~ DavB87 Loss 64% 1-2 1.0× -52.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 64% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
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