ertlheimer at Planetary Qualifier Essen
melee.gg
Rating before
1,301
RD 118
Rating after
1,284
RD 107
Effective multiplier
1.0×
weighted avg
Performance
1,213
vs field
Field strength
Mean 1,572
· Median 1,535
· 68 rated
42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2
Biggest upset
Beat PhilippRa
at 43% odds
/
surprise +0.57
Costliest loss
Lost to Janoshi
at 55% odds
/
surprise -0.55
/
+46 swing
Matches (7)
Round
HRI
Opponent
Result
Odds
Game W-L
Multiplier
Δ
Type
Glicko-2 predicted only 43% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 137, true skill could span ±273).
Glicko-2 predicted 55% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 144, true skill could span ±288).