ertlheimer at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-4-2 Field 68
Rating after 1,284
-16
Rating before 1,301 RD 118
Rating after 1,284 RD 107
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,213 vs field -359
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 1-4-2 -16.3 1.0× +0.0 -16.3 1284
Total 1-4-2 -16.3 1284
Biggest upset Beat PhilippRa 1379 at 43% odds / surprise +0.57
Costliest loss Lost to Janoshi 1244 at 55% odds / surprise -0.55 / +46 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1576 Sures Loss 28% 1-2 1.0× -13.2 Swiss
R2 1379~ PhilippRa Win 43% 2-1 1.0× +26.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 43% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 137, true skill could span ±273).
R3 1859 FatherComstock_TDM Draw 13% 1-1 1.0× +17.7 Swiss
R4 1550 spike27 Loss 30% 0-2 1.0× -14.0 Swiss
R5 1387 RollRobin Loss 43% 0-2 1.0× -20.0 Swiss
R6 1244~ Janoshi Loss 55% 0-1 1.0× -25.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 55% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 144, true skill could span ±288).
R7 1572~ LuckyJoe1909 Draw 29% 1-1 1.0× +9.4 Swiss
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