erizonte at Planetary Qualifier Oviedo

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-3-0 Field 44

Rating after 1,380

-120

Rating before 1,500 RD 250

Rating after 1,380 RD 194

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,184

Field strength Mean 1,545 · Median 1,519 · 44 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1500 → Swiss 1380 -120.5

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

JAEstwald 1

Diego-jr 2

Loira 2

Farreli 0

Evilcloud 0

miguividal 2

Fuegoscuro86 2

McLion34 1

Semifinals

Diego-jr 0

Loira 2

miguividal 2

Fuegoscuro86 1

Finals

Loira 2

miguividal 1

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 4 matches 1-3 -120.5 1.0× +0.0 -120.5 1380

Total 1-3-0 -120.5 1380

Biggest upset Beat jorsot4 1500 at 50% odds / surprise +0.5

Costliest loss Lost to klyssus 1403 at 58% odds / surprise -0.58 /

Matches (4)

R1 Taelos Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 jorsot4 Win 2-1 1.0× +85.1 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).

R3 JAEstwald Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R4 klyssus Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 58% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 146, true skill could span ±292).