dropkickrob at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,521
+16
Rating before 1,505 RD 114
Rating after 1,521 RD 105
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,583 vs field +11
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 +15.9 1.0× +0.0 +15.9 1521
Total 3-3-0 +15.9 1521
Biggest upset Beat EW_Tobik 1707 at 34% odds / surprise +0.66
Costliest loss Lost to Rawne 1500 at 50% odds / surprise -0.5 / +41 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1639 Laukes Loss 39% 1-2 1.0× -17.1 Swiss
R2 1551 DanSolo Win 46% 2-0 1.0× +23.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 46% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1513~ DarthTatlises Loss 49% 0-2 1.0× -20.8 Swiss
R4 1707~ EW_Tobik Win 34% 2-0 1.0× +28.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 34% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 143, true skill could span ±285).
R5 1575 RPGKuchen Win 44% 2-0 1.0× +24.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 44% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R6 1500~ Rawne Loss 50% 1-2 1.0× -20.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
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