djb299 at Planetary Qualifier Radcliff

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 44
Rating after 1,503
+94
Rating before 1,409 RD 177
Rating after 1,503 RD 151
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,705 vs field +122
Field strength Mean 1,583 · Median 1,522 · 44 rated 54th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 +94.2 1.0× +0.0 +94.2 1503
Total 3-3-0 +94.2 1503
Biggest upset Beat ChristianTobey 1919 at 15% odds / surprise +0.85
Costliest loss Lost to mjbaysinger 1407 at 50% odds / surprise -0.5 / +98 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1328~ BKO158 Win 57% 2-0 1.0× +42.4 Swiss
R2 1920 NoahG1212 Loss 15% 0-2 1.0× -15.4 Swiss
R3 1919 ChristianTobey Win 15% 2-1 1.0× +87.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 15% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R4 1816 Nick08 Win 20% 2-0 1.0× +81.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 20% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R5 1787 projector101 Loss 21% 1-2 1.0× -21.9 Swiss
R6 1407 mjbaysinger Loss 50% 1-2 1.0× -49.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
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