darkzepher at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 55

Rating after 1,583

+24

Rating before 1,558 RD 139

Rating after 1,583 RD 122

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,658

Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1558 → Swiss 1583 +24.2

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Mark Fichtel 0

CoolBowTiesAre 0

CannedIce 2

marshhhh 0

Gold630 2

vakarian 1

JElliot 2

Semifinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

CannedIce 0

Gold630 2

JElliot 0

Finals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Gold630 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 +24.2 1.0× +0.0 +24.2 1583

Total 3-3-0 +24.2 1583

Biggest upset Beat JustonCase 1853 at 27% odds / surprise +0.73

Costliest loss Lost to YubDubberson 1589 at 47% odds / surprise -0.47 /

Matches (6)

R1 ballz187 Win 2-1 1.0× +26.8 Swiss

R2 JustonCase Win 2-0 1.0× +47.1 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 27% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R3 YubDubberson Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R4 ominousquash Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 Drewskii Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R6 Gawgles Win 2-0 1.0× +31.1 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±305).