crayzd at Planetary Qualifier Yuma

melee.gg
Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 1-2-0 Field 43
Rating after 1,346
-12
Rating before 1,358 RD 152
Rating after 1,346 RD 141
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,297 vs field -278
Field strength Mean 1,575 · Median 1,552 · 42 rated 46th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 3 matches 1-2 -12.1 1.0× +0.0 -12.1 1346
Total 1-2-0 -12.1 1346
Biggest upset Beat Bepsiman 1500 at 39% odds / surprise +0.61
Costliest loss Lost to SBS_Logray36 1456 at 42% odds / surprise -0.42 / +73 swing

Matches (3)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1563~ llopez101 Loss 34% 0-2 1.0× -24.7 Swiss
R2 1456~ SBS_Logray36 Loss 42% 0-2 1.0× -30.7 Swiss
R3 1500~ Bepsiman Win 39% 2-0 1.0× +42.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 39% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
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