craigpfeifer at Planetary Qualifier Mechanicsburg

melee.gg
Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 4-3-0 Field 72
Rating after 1,649
+42
Rating before 1,607 RD 130
Rating after 1,649 RD 115
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,784 vs field +216
Field strength Mean 1,568 · Median 1,565 · 72 rated 38th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 +42.4 1.0× +0.0 +42.4 1649
Total 4-3-0 +42.4 1649
Biggest upset Beat KH44_MCG 1786 at 35% odds / surprise +0.65
Costliest loss Lost to edman218 1698 at 42% odds / surprise -0.42 / +55 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Putinfreediet Win 58% 2-0 1.0× +21.7 Swiss
R2 1564~ imnotpete Win 54% 2-1 1.0× +25.5 Swiss
R3 1698~ edman218 Loss 42% 0-2 1.0× -23.5 Swiss
R4 1786 KH44_MCG Win 35% 2-1 1.0× +36.5 Swiss
R5 1881 LGG_HypeDD Loss 28% 0-2 1.0× -16.0 Swiss
R6 1653~ Davis Hundt Win 46% 2-0 1.0× +30.0 Swiss
R7 1761 Ethan Koeppe Loss 37% 0-2 1.0× -20.9 Swiss
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