Davis Hundt at Planetary Qualifier Mechanicsburg

melee.gg
Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 72
Rating after 1,649
-4
Rating before 1,653 RD 123
Rating after 1,649 RD 111
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,634 vs field +66
Field strength Mean 1,568 · Median 1,565 · 72 rated 38th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 -4.0 1.0× +0.0 -4.0 1649
Total 3-3-0 -4.0 1649
Biggest upset Beat leumas81 1834 at 35% odds / surprise +0.65
Costliest loss Lost to clear10shot 1565 at 57% odds / surprise -0.57 / +50 swing

Matches (6)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1834 leumas81 Win 35% 2-1 1.0× +32.5 Swiss
R2 1565 clear10shot Loss 57% 0-2 1.0× -28.6 Swiss
R3 1667~ RandoBrando Loss 49% 0-2 1.0× -24.2 Swiss
R4 1777 Sfisthebest Win 40% 2-1 1.0× +30.0 Swiss
R5 1327~ whatsagoinon Win 74% 2-0 1.0× +12.4 Swiss
R6 1607~ craigpfeifer Loss 54% 0-2 1.0× -26.7 Swiss
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