carbonite at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-3-2 Field 82

Rating after 1,506

-37

Rating before 1,543 RD 147

Rating after 1,506 RD 126

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,414

Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1543 → Swiss 1506 -37.0

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Krehlo_MythicForce 2

DavB87 0

Byrus_MythicForce 2

realready 1

Guacamol 0

Order514_Dinozor 2

Kevin Anctil 2

BennyBlues 0

Semifinals

Krehlo_MythicForce 2

Byrus_MythicForce 0

Order514_Dinozor 2

Kevin Anctil 1

Finals

Krehlo_MythicForce 1

Order514_Dinozor 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 7 matches 2-3-2 -37.0 1.0× +0.0 -37.0 1506

Total 2-3-2 -37.0 1506

Biggest upset Beat Cocodelmundo 1500 at 53% odds / surprise +0.47

Costliest loss Lost to Zorthak 1500 at 53% odds / surprise -0.53 /

Matches (7)

R1 Cocodelmundo Win 2-0 1.0× +30.3 Swiss

R2 Louis Gagnon Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R3 LouisValiquette Draw 1-1 1.0× -2.2 Swiss

R4 Richard Blais Draw 1-1 1.0× -3.3 Swiss

R5 ORA_KillMathy Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R6 ORA_MatP94 Win 2-0 1.0× +19.7 Swiss

R7 Zorthak Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 53% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).