bolanki at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-3-0 Field 22
Rating after 1,402
+2
Rating before 1,400 RD 157
Rating after 1,402 RD 141
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,409 vs field -117
Field strength Mean 1,526 · Median 1,500 · 22 rated 12th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 2-3 +1.7 1.0× +0.0 +1.7 1402
Total 2-3-0 +1.7 1402
Biggest upset Beat TheMystic 1500 at 42% odds / surprise +0.58
Costliest loss Lost to Sungazer 1500 at 42% odds / surprise -0.42 / +74 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Sungazer Loss 42% 0-2 1.0× -31.3 Swiss
R2 2029~ luka8luka Loss 11% 0-2 1.0× -8.8 Swiss
R3 1161~ meagan23 Win 69% 2-0 1.0× +24.5 Swiss
R4 1624~ prettyflyforajedi Loss 32% 0-2 1.0× -25.3 Swiss
R5 1500~ TheMystic Win 42% 2-0 1.0× +42.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 42% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
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